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Red365
4450163.7
2910222.1
2976166.9
Blue220
2522174.3
2557183.6
2928152.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38133401,0001,5002,0002,5003,000365220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222.10.2
220.0219.7
Auto20.8
Teleop171.3
End30.3
red by 38.6
183.61.3
192.3191.0
Auto20.6
Teleop138.0
End22.9
Second
166.90.1
167.7167.7
Auto18.8
Teleop136.9
End10.9
blue by 7.4
2522
#16
174.30.3
178.7179.0
Auto26.5
Teleop130.4
End15.1
Third
4450
#27
163.70.8
172.7171.9
Auto18.6
Teleop120.4
End26.0
red by 11.5
2928
#20
152.21.2
152.6153.9
Auto20.8
Teleop109.1
End23.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsMissed92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed55%Face the Boss oddsMissed