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Red233
1983179.2
3663176.6
4450163.7
Blue416
9994112.4
5803186.4
5588137.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4172770100200500600233416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179.20.4
178.0178.4
Auto22.7
Teleop138.1
End20.5
blue by 7.1
186.40.1
186.3186.3
Auto22.1
Teleop129.9
End33.9
Second
176.60.7
174.1174.8
Auto21.9
Teleop131.2
End26.5
red by 39.7
5588
#18
137.00.1
136.6136.7
Auto16.2
Teleop105.8
End15.9
Third
4450
#27
163.70.4
165.9165.5
Auto18.6
Teleop120.4
End26.0
red by 51.3
9994
#15
112.41.1
109.9111.1
Auto16.8
Teleop88.6
End9.1