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Red360
1318203.5
2046218.2
2733136.6
Blue327
4911189.7
2910222.1
6343148.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371357100200300500600700360327

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
218.20.3
217.0217.3
Auto22.5
Teleop176.6
End18.9
blue by 3.9
222.10.1
222.1222.1
Auto20.8
Teleop171.3
End30.3
Second
1318
#11
203.50.1
202.9203.0
Auto23.4
Teleop146.1
End34.8
red by 13.8
4911
#10
189.70.1
189.7189.7
Auto22.3
Teleop137.8
End32.2
Third
2733
#21
136.60.4
137.8137.4
Auto18.6
Teleop104.1
End13.5
blue by 11.8
6343
#17
148.40.1
148.5148.4
Auto21.6
Teleop109.4
End15.9