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Quarterfinal 4-12018 PNW District Glacier Peak Event
Red454
4488170.2
3218169.9
4512126.2
Blue191
492140.9
4077151.3
4173117.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389275100200500600454191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4488
#9
170.20.5
167.0→167.5
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
red by 18.9
4077
#8
151.30.1
151.2→151.3
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
Second
3218
#3
169.90.1
168.5→168.7
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
red by 29.0
492
#24
140.90.2
141.4→141.2
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
Third
4512
#33
126.20.2
124.6→124.7
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
red by 9.0
4173
#21
117.20.5
116.2→116.8
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1