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Red35
7118104.4
949109.4
4173117.2
Blue423
5748126.0
4911177.5
492140.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23635910020030040050035423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4173
#21
117.20.7
115.0115.7
Auto15.2
Teleop88.9
End14.1
blue by 60.3
177.50.6
166.3165.7
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
Second
949
#32
109.416.7
67.984.6
Auto16.8
Teleop79.3
End14.3
blue by 31.5
492
#24
140.913.4
98.8112.2
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
Third
7118
#34
104.40.8
105.8106.6
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
blue by 21.6
5748
#15
126.00.4
115.5115.9
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed