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Red297
4077151.3
2903130.7
2928139.7
Blue226
2930162.1
4180118.5
492140.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261350100200300400500600700297226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.31.1
137.0138.1
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
blue by 10.8
2930
#10
162.10.5
156.6157.1
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Second
139.71.4
111.8113.2
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
blue by 1.2
492
#24
140.98.4
123.2131.6
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
Third
2903
#11
130.70.9
118.9118.0
Auto15.3
Teleop104.9
End10.2
red by 12.2
4180
#28
118.50.4
123.9124.4
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed