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Red296
4911177.5
4512126.2
468193.0
Blue365
3218169.9
3070141.1
1294107.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513360100200300400500600296365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.51.3
166.0167.3
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
red by 7.5
169.91.6
148.3149.9
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Second
4512
#33
126.20.7
120.0119.2
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
blue by 14.9
3070
#18
141.10.4
138.0138.4
Auto21.6
Teleop102.0
End16.6
Third
4681
#30
93.01.2
84.383.0
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
blue by 14.2
1294
#16
107.30.7
107.8107.1
Auto15.0
Teleop79.1
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed