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Red310
4450168.5
4918115.5
4488170.2
Blue338
2928139.7
1983153.9
2930162.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340341200250300400450500310338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.21.3
161.3162.7
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
red by 8.1
2930
#10
162.10.1
157.1157.0
Auto22.8
Teleop117.7
End22.8
Second
4450
#13
168.51.0
164.6163.6
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
red by 14.6
153.91.7
147.2148.9
Auto16.5
Teleop122.2
End15.1
Third
4918
#36
115.53.7
109.4113.2
Auto17.3
Teleop85.7
End12.8
blue by 24.2
139.71.9
113.2115.1
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed