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Red145
4918115.5
4915165.0
4205123.5
Blue395
2522165.4
5683117.4
4309129.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions359262100200300400500600145395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#20
165.00.9
169.4170.3
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
blue by 0.4
165.40.2
143.3143.2
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
Second
4205
#26
123.50.2
134.0133.8
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
blue by 6.2
4309
#12
129.70.6
132.3131.7
Auto18.2
Teleop88.9
End23.8
Third
4918
#36
115.515.4
80.195.5
Auto17.3
Teleop85.7
End12.8
blue by 1.9
5683
#23
117.41.9
115.7113.8
Auto18.5
Teleop86.1
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed