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Red387
5827120.5
4077151.3
4512126.2
Blue226
4915165.0
7118104.4
2980135.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063190100200400500600700387226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.31.1
141.5142.5
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
blue by 13.7
4915
#20
165.00.4
169.7169.3
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
Second
4512
#33
126.20.2
120.1120.3
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0
blue by 9.1
2980
#29
135.30.3
136.0135.7
Auto16.8
Teleop103.7
End13.5
Third
5827
#14
120.50.3
119.3119.6
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
red by 16.1
7118
#34
104.40.1
105.1105.1
Auto15.2
Teleop79.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned61%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed