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Red56
1258112.6
2412145.4
5827120.5
Blue438
949109.4
2522165.4
3218169.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28933910020040050060056438

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2412
#17
145.40.7
147.9148.6
Auto15.2
Teleop109.2
End20.7
blue by 24.5
169.92.3
157.4159.7
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Second
5827
#14
120.51.1
119.6120.8
Auto17.7
Teleop94.0
End9.6
blue by 44.8
165.41.6
153.1154.6
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
Third
1258
#27
112.60.9
119.0119.9
Auto15.4
Teleop88.5
End11.7
red by 3.2
949
#32
109.40.4
102.5102.0
Auto16.8
Teleop79.3
End14.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed