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Red472
4450168.5
4077151.3
5748126.0
Blue335
4488170.2
468193.0
4915165.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354326200300400500600472335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4450
#13
168.50.9
163.2164.1
Auto18.4
Teleop128.9
End22.3
blue by 1.7
170.20.1
164.4164.3
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
151.31.7
142.5144.2
Auto19.8
Teleop116.6
End13.1
blue by 13.7
4915
#20
165.00.7
169.3168.6
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
Third
5748
#15
126.01.4
124.7126.1
Auto18.7
Teleop93.6
End15.2
red by 33.0
4681
#30
93.02.1
86.088.1
Auto15.1
Teleop71.5
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed