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Red501
492140.9
4915165.0
2522165.4
Blue127
4682114.3
1294107.3
4205123.5
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions425209100300500600700501127

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
165.41.8
161.3163.1
Auto24.7
Teleop124.8
End17.2
red by 41.9
4205
#26
123.50.4
123.1123.5
Auto15.9
Teleop94.5
End12.1
Second
4915
#20
165.00.7
165.8165.1
Auto24.3
Teleop116.0
End24.4
red by 50.7
4682
#35
114.31.2
115.5114.3
Auto16.2
Teleop85.6
End10.8
Third
492
#24
140.91.5
142.9141.4
Auto17.7
Teleop106.3
End16.6
red by 33.7
1294
#16
107.31.1
106.1107.3
Auto15.0
Teleop79.1
End14.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed