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Red237
4911177.5
2928139.7
4180118.5
Blue407
4488170.2
3218169.9
4512126.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297379100200500600237407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.1
177.2177.4
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
red by 7.3
170.20.5
168.0168.6
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
139.70.5
138.7139.3
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
blue by 30.2
169.90.2
168.9169.1
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Third
4180
#28
118.50.2
118.8118.7
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
blue by 7.7
4512
#33
126.20.3
125.0125.3
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0