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Red268
4911177.5
2928139.7
4180118.5
Blue365
4488170.2
3218169.9
4512126.2
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292384100200500600268365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
177.50.1
177.4177.5
Auto20.9
Teleop139.2
End15.1
red by 7.3
170.20.6
168.6169.1
Auto20.6
Teleop125.7
End25.8
Second
139.70.5
139.3139.7
Auto20.2
Teleop100.8
End18.5
blue by 30.2
169.90.3
169.1169.4
Auto18.3
Teleop129.3
End22.1
Third
4180
#28
118.50.2
118.7118.5
Auto16.2
Teleop91.2
End9.1
blue by 7.7
4512
#33
126.20.3
125.3125.6
Auto18.1
Teleop98.0
End12.0