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Red294
4061155.3
1595134.0
4120117.9
Blue275
4726114.7
4495147.6
3693114.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions362247100200300400500600700294275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4061
#10
155.30.1
155.5155.4
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
red by 7.7
147.60.2
147.1147.3
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
Second
134.00.7
130.5131.3
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
red by 19.3
4726
#21
114.70.1
114.5114.5
Auto17.9
Teleop87.8
End12.1
Third
4120
#16
117.90.3
116.3116.6
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
red by 3.4
3693
#17
114.50.1
114.7114.5
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5