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Red204
6076124.6
3876100.3
3223130.8
Blue468
2147148.3
5295125.0
4495147.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264349100200300400500600204468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#15
130.80.2
129.3129.6
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
blue by 17.5
148.31.9
130.5132.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.6
End5.9
Second
6076
#19
124.60.1
118.3118.4
Auto15.8
Teleop94.7
End15.9
blue by 23.0
147.60.9
144.2145.2
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
Third
3876
#23
100.30.6
106.2106.7
Auto14.4
Teleop75.6
End8.2
blue by 24.7
5295
#24
125.00.2
119.7119.9
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed