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Red428
3575113.6
4513193.5
5803182.7
Blue262
3220124.8
2148128.2
4120117.9
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4221930100300500600700428262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.51.7
180.9182.6
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 65.3
2148
#27
128.21.3
118.8120.2
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
Second
182.71.6
171.5173.0
Auto25.7
Teleop132.1
End26.5
red by 57.9
3220
#20
124.80.4
124.3124.7
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
Third
3575
#26
113.60.2
113.2112.9
Auto14.0
Teleop82.0
End19.9
blue by 4.3
4120
#16
117.90.1
103.9103.9
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed