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Red289
3220124.8
3223130.8
5295125.0
Blue300
6442131.6
3693114.5
4980172.0
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285356200400500600289300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3223
#15
130.80.4
129.7130.0
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
blue by 41.2
172.02.0
158.9160.8
Auto23.8
Teleop125.7
End22.7
Second
5295
#24
125.01.9
123.9125.8
Auto15.0
Teleop93.6
End15.2
blue by 6.6
131.61.5
125.2126.7
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
Third
3220
#20
124.80.3
122.9122.6
Auto15.4
Teleop91.4
End18.2
red by 10.3
3693
#17
114.51.1
113.2114.3
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed45%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed