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Red203
371289.0
4120117.9
4608129.2
Blue290
3876100.3
5920158.9
4104118.1
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions245302100200400500600203290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4608
#14
129.20.6
132.5131.8
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
blue by 29.6
158.93.1
143.4146.5
Auto23.7
Teleop121.6
End17.4
Second
4120
#16
117.92.0
107.9109.9
Auto17.7
Teleop85.5
End14.2
blue by 0.2
4104
#13
118.10.9
118.3117.5
Auto13.9
Teleop93.8
End10.4
Third
3712
#25
89.00.3
91.190.8
Auto15.0
Teleop67.5
End5.4
blue by 11.4
3876
#23
100.31.6
102.7101.1
Auto14.4
Teleop75.6
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed