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Red322
6442131.6
4513193.5
3223130.8
Blue210
4061155.3
4495147.6
1595134.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366306200400500600322210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.51.0
194.7195.7
Auto24.3
Teleop141.7
End27.9
red by 38.2
4061
#10
155.30.9
159.7158.8
Auto27.4
Teleop110.5
End15.5
Second
131.61.2
127.9129.0
Auto16.5
Teleop103.3
End12.0
blue by 16.0
147.60.6
145.7146.3
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
Third
3223
#15
130.80.6
130.1130.7
Auto18.9
Teleop97.9
End12.9
blue by 3.1
134.02.1
125.7127.9
Auto17.8
Teleop98.5
End20.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed