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Red204
3693114.5
4495147.6
2148128.2
Blue257
4089126.1
358687.3
4608129.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321267100200300400500204257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
147.61.2
145.2146.3
Auto19.4
Teleop111.7
End19.6
red by 18.3
4608
#14
129.20.1
133.8133.7
Auto17.8
Teleop93.0
End19.2
Second
2148
#27
128.21.5
120.2121.6
Auto16.0
Teleop98.9
End13.1
red by 2.1
4089
#12
126.10.8
119.2120.0
Auto17.2
Teleop99.5
End6.6
Third
3693
#17
114.50.6
109.5110.0
Auto17.5
Teleop85.0
End14.5
red by 27.1
3586
#28
87.30.0
96.996.8
Auto12.5
Teleop68.1
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed