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Red388
1318190.3
2811198.3
3575113.2
Blue187
4061155.6
3711166.7
2915117.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387279100200500600388187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.30.1
198.2198.3
Auto24.0
Teleop157.6
End15.4
red by 31.6
166.70.6
166.1166.7
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
190.30.2
190.2190.3
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
red by 34.7
155.60.2
155.4155.6
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
Third
3575
#14
113.20.1
113.3113.2
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
blue by 4.3
2915
#24
117.40.3
117.7117.4
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4