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Red368
1318190.3
2811198.3
3575113.2
Blue183
5920126.1
3826136.2
3588126.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403235100200300500600700368183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
198.30.5
196.7197.2
Auto24.0
Teleop157.6
End15.4
red by 62.1
3826
#11
136.20.5
135.3135.8
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
Second
190.30.5
188.7189.2
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
red by 64.2
5920
#12
126.10.5
125.3125.7
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Third
3575
#14
113.20.1
113.3113.4
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
blue by 12.9
3588
#15
126.10.2
125.7125.9
Auto14.4
Teleop95.7
End14.7