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Red356
4061155.6
3711166.7
2915117.4
Blue185
4608133.9
2522143.3
6076118.3
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375247100200300500600356185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.71.0
162.7163.7
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
red by 23.4
2522
#10
143.30.0
143.4143.3
Auto20.3
Teleop110.2
End9.7
Second
155.60.5
153.8154.2
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
red by 21.7
4608
#13
133.90.0
133.9133.9
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
Third
2915
#24
117.40.1
118.2118.1
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
blue by 0.8
6076
#21
118.30.1
118.2118.3
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1