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Red275
3218145.4
2148118.8
2944107.3
Blue461
4980146.0
4125129.9
5450113.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions307291150200250350400450500275461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.40.5
144.9145.4
Auto15.9
Teleop112.4
End20.8
blue by 0.6
4980
#17
146.00.4
144.5144.9
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
Second
118.80.5
118.4118.8
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
blue by 11.1
129.90.2
129.1129.3
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
Third
2944
#20
107.30.3
107.6107.3
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
blue by 6.5
5450
#30
113.80.5
114.9114.4
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1