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Red124
4120103.9
3693108.8
4061155.6
Blue164
4125129.9
2148118.8
6076118.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302282100200400500124164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.612.6
106.0118.6
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
red by 25.6
129.90.4
133.9134.3
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
Second
3693
#25
108.815.8
76.792.4
Auto16.2
Teleop83.5
End10.3
blue by 10.1
118.815.9
75.491.3
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Third
4120
#23
103.917.6
60.478.0
Auto13.3
Teleop79.3
End12.0
blue by 14.4
6076
#21
118.316.5
70.186.6
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed