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Red139
612985.1
3693108.8
4608133.9
Blue82
4104117.5
371292.1
5920126.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24824610015020030035040013982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4608
#13
133.98.2
98.2106.4
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
red by 7.8
5920
#12
126.15.0
108.7113.7
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Second
3693
#25
108.82.2
98.9101.0
Auto16.2
Teleop83.5
End10.3
blue by 8.7
4104
#22
117.58.0
86.995.0
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
Third
6129
#29
85.14.2
92.096.1
Auto11.2
Teleop72.0
End2.1
blue by 7.0
3712
#28
92.13.1
90.393.4
Auto12.3
Teleop72.5
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed