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Red150
612985.1
3826136.2
2915117.4
Blue353
6076118.3
3711166.7
4104117.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions257270100200300400500150353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#11
136.20.8
137.2136.5
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
blue by 30.5
166.70.7
146.7147.4
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
Second
2915
#24
117.42.7
112.7115.4
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
blue by 0.8
6076
#21
118.32.1
100.1102.3
Auto14.8
Teleop90.0
End13.1
Third
6129
#29
85.12.2
98.9101.1
Auto11.2
Teleop72.0
End2.1
blue by 32.4
4104
#22
117.52.9
98.8101.6
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed