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Red443
1318190.3
2944107.3
2522143.3
Blue197
4980146.0
5920126.1
2148118.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356247100200300400500443197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190.31.7
174.2175.9
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
red by 44.3
4980
#17
146.05.2
130.2135.4
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
Second
2522
#10
143.36.0
133.3139.3
Auto20.3
Teleop110.2
End9.7
red by 17.2
5920
#12
126.12.6
116.8119.4
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
Third
2944
#20
107.30.7
113.8113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop85.7
End3.8
blue by 11.5
118.82.9
107.6110.4
Auto14.9
Teleop96.0
End10.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed