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Red375
5468147.0
371292.1
3711166.7
Blue244
6831151.6
5450113.8
3575113.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280282260300320340360375244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.71.7
147.4149.0
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
red by 15.1
151.60.9
144.3145.2
Auto18.7
Teleop119.5
End15.2
Second
5468
#16
147.00.2
145.3145.5
Auto17.1
Teleop116.5
End13.8
red by 33.1
5450
#30
113.82.0
113.1115.1
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
Third
3712
#28
92.10.3
91.691.3
Auto12.3
Teleop72.5
End9.0
blue by 21.0
3575
#14
113.24.2
111.9116.1
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed