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Red334
4125129.9
6831151.6
5920126.1
Blue244
2915117.4
4980146.0
3575113.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092820100200400500600334244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.60.5
145.2145.7
Auto18.7
Teleop119.5
End15.2
red by 5.5
4980
#17
146.02.6
135.4138.0
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
Second
129.90.9
130.3129.4
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
red by 12.5
2915
#24
117.42.2
115.4117.6
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
Third
5920
#12
126.10.9
119.4120.2
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
red by 12.9
3575
#14
113.22.2
116.1118.3
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed