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Red309
4726111.8
3826136.2
4608133.9
Blue107
5450113.8
4120103.9
3575113.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321233100200400500309107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3826
#11
136.20.0
134.4134.4
Auto15.4
Teleop111.9
End10.4
red by 22.4
5450
#30
113.80.3
118.3118.0
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1
Second
4608
#13
133.90.3
134.5134.2
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
red by 20.7
3575
#14
113.21.4
117.6116.3
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
Third
4726
#26
111.80.1
110.3110.2
Auto16.9
Teleop88.0
End8.8
red by 7.9
4120
#23
103.91.5
102.5104.0
Auto13.3
Teleop79.3
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed