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Red362
3575113.2
5920126.1
3711166.7
Blue336
1318190.3
4608133.9
4104117.5
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2643510100200300400500600362336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.72.4
159.3161.7
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
blue by 23.6
190.31.8
186.9188.7
Auto21.7
Teleop139.5
End29.1
Second
5920
#12
126.10.3
124.9125.3
Auto17.4
Teleop102.3
End5.4
blue by 7.8
4608
#13
133.90.5
134.4134.0
Auto17.8
Teleop99.1
End18.8
Third
3575
#14
113.20.9
114.2113.3
Auto16.6
Teleop82.7
End12.7
blue by 4.3
4104
#22
117.50.0
117.5117.5
Auto12.4
Teleop95.9
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed