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Red385
4061155.6
3711166.7
2915117.4
Blue178
4980146.0
4125129.9
5450113.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371250100200300400500600385178

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
166.70.8
164.6165.4
Auto21.8
Teleop122.5
End22.4
red by 20.7
4980
#17
146.00.5
145.5146.0
Auto20.2
Teleop106.9
End20.2
Second
155.60.3
154.7155.0
Auto25.8
Teleop110.3
End20.1
red by 25.6
129.90.3
129.6129.9
Auto16.0
Teleop102.3
End11.5
Third
2915
#24
117.40.2
118.0117.8
Auto13.4
Teleop94.4
End8.4
red by 3.6
5450
#30
113.80.3
114.1113.8
Auto15.9
Teleop89.1
End7.1