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Red317
238125.6
5687143.8
332399.6
Blue206
78124.7
5813135.7
5459109.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions272281150200250300350400317206

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
143.81.3
140.9142.2
Auto15.2
Teleop111.9
End17.1
red by 8.1
135.71.6
132.6134.2
Auto17.0
Teleop107.3
End14.6
Second
238
#19
125.60.6
124.2124.8
Auto15.7
Teleop100.4
End6.6
red by 0.9
78
#11
124.71.4
122.1123.4
Auto16.8
Teleop98.2
End13.6
Third
3323
#21
99.60.4
98.599.0
Auto11.9
Teleop82.7
End1.7
blue by 10.1
5459
#20
109.71.6
106.7108.3
Auto12.9
Teleop88.0
End13.6