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Red341
1756187.9
1986194.7
6630146.9
Blue368
2826161.5
1736178.7
2830146.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions411323200500600700341368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
194.70.6
193.7194.3
Auto24.1
Teleop137.5
End33.6
red by 16.0
1736
#11
178.70.1
177.3177.3
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
Second
1756
#13
187.90.0
187.9187.9
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
red by 26.4
2826
#14
161.50.0
160.6160.6
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
Third
6630
#16
146.90.5
146.1146.6
Auto19.6
Teleop107.3
End24.0
red by 0.2
2830
#29
146.70.2
144.5144.7
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1