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Red456
2194169.5
930160.2
5903146.6
Blue329
3928166.6
2143141.9
5148133.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4072820100200500600700456329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.50.4
167.7168.1
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
red by 2.9
3928
#35
166.60.9
168.2167.3
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
Second
930
#4
160.20.8
156.6157.4
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
red by 18.3
141.90.1
141.6141.7
Auto19.0
Teleop103.4
End19.5
Third
5903
#24
146.60.3
145.1145.4
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
red by 12.7
5148
#31
133.90.3
133.3133.6
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4