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Red386
1306156.1
167174.8
5914131.4
Blue339
4655171.6
6237144.5
2169137.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355338200300400500600386339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#3
174.80.4
174.0174.4
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
red by 3.2
171.60.6
167.5168.1
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
Second
1306
#12
156.10.1
155.9156.0
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
red by 11.6
144.50.7
139.5140.2
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
Third
5914
#17
131.40.9
129.6130.5
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
blue by 6.5
2169
#37
137.90.2
136.2136.4
Auto14.8
Teleop110.5
End12.7