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Red341
7021176.5
6613129.7
6166108.0
Blue270
4762115.5
4522184.7
4531154.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions312318200250300350400341270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.53.2
159.0162.2
Auto20.9
Teleop138.8
End15.7
blue by 8.2
4522
#15
184.70.8
173.6174.5
Auto22.1
Teleop131.4
End32.5
Second
6613
#18
129.72.1
139.6137.4
Auto17.0
Teleop100.1
End10.2
blue by 24.4
154.10.5
138.2137.7
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
Third
6166
#53
108.015.3
80.696.0
Auto17.0
Teleop85.3
End3.9
blue by 7.4
4762
#47
115.516.3
72.388.5
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned