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Red300
2194169.5
2498117.0
167174.8
Blue197
1756187.9
6217141.9
6237144.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311355100200400500300197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167
#3
174.83.4
155.5158.8
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
blue by 13.1
1756
#13Sur
187.91.3
180.6182.0
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
Second
2194
#9Sur
169.50.1
158.3158.2
Auto24.0
Teleop126.5
End20.2
red by 24.9
144.51.1
131.2132.3
Auto16.9
Teleop105.9
End24.3
Third
2498
#21
117.00.9
114.5113.6
Auto17.5
Teleop83.0
End21.6
blue by 24.8
6217
#26
141.91.5
141.5143.0
Auto17.4
Teleop110.2
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed