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Red241
3381127.6
4011149.6
5914131.4
Blue367
1091132.2
4624133.2
1306156.1
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261370100200300400500600241367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4011
#32
149.60.3
146.6147.0
Auto17.4
Teleop108.8
End23.6
blue by 6.5
1306
#12
156.11.9
139.9141.8
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
Second
5914
#17
131.41.1
118.7117.6
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
blue by 1.8
4624
#39
133.20.0
139.3139.3
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
Third
3381
#36
127.60.3
126.9127.1
Auto17.5
Teleop99.0
End10.5
blue by 4.7
1091
#46
132.20.5
141.7141.2
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed