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Red255
1736178.7
171101.8
3206135.1
Blue323
5586102.2
5003121.0
167174.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303322100200400500600700255323

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#11
178.70.5
170.3170.7
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
red by 3.9
167
#3
174.82.5
158.8161.3
Auto20.8
Teleop131.6
End22.2
Second
3206
#40
135.10.8
139.7138.8
Auto17.4
Teleop104.4
End12.5
red by 14.1
5003
#44
121.010.9
97.2108.1
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
Third
171
#49
101.81.3
111.7110.4
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
blue by 0.4
5586
#45
102.21.2
108.7107.5
Auto16.6
Teleop80.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed