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Red326
2077118.4
6217141.9
6424170.5
Blue185
1091132.2
171101.8
2977163.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324336200250300350400450326185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
#28
170.50.7
163.6164.3
Auto19.5
Teleop130.4
End21.1
red by 7.2
2977
#20
163.32.1
162.0164.1
Auto18.9
Teleop120.7
End19.9
Second
6217
#26
141.90.8
142.6141.8
Auto17.4
Teleop110.2
End17.7
red by 9.6
1091
#46
132.20.4
141.2140.8
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
Third
2077
#42
118.40.7
124.1123.5
Auto17.2
Teleop82.9
End14.9
red by 16.6
171
#49
101.81.1
110.4109.3
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed