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Red420
3055126.2
1736178.7
2826161.5
Blue104
3928166.6
5019102.8
2062133.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34933605001,0001,500420104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1736
#11
178.70.5
171.1171.6
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
red by 12.1
3928
#35
166.61.6
170.4172.0
Auto22.7
Teleop122.6
End17.8
Second
2826
#14
161.50.1
158.1158.0
Auto18.1
Teleop120.9
End23.5
red by 28.5
2062
#23
133.03.1
126.7129.8
Auto18.8
Teleop94.5
End22.8
Third
3055
#19
126.20.4
122.3122.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.7
End21.9
red by 23.5
5019
#50
102.84.0
105.6109.5
Auto15.2
Teleop75.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned77%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed