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Red522
5914131.4
1306156.1
5464145.5
Blue185
5586102.2
2498117.0
5148133.9
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions360240100200300400500522185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1306
#12
156.12.1
143.3145.4
Auto22.2
Teleop117.4
End14.9
red by 22.3
5148
#31
133.90.9
129.6130.5
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
Second
5464
#22
145.50.0
141.0141.0
Auto14.2
Teleop103.4
End29.7
red by 28.5
2498
#21
117.00.1
113.1113.0
Auto17.5
Teleop83.0
End21.6
Third
5914
#17
131.40.2
116.8117.0
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
red by 29.2
5586
#45
102.20.6
106.5105.9
Auto16.6
Teleop80.1
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed