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Red225
537107.3
1091132.2
930160.2
Blue308
6613129.7
3055126.2
5148133.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3162960100200400500600225308

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
930
#4
160.22.2
149.1151.4
Auto20.0
Teleop120.5
End21.4
red by 26.3
5148
#31
133.90.5
130.5131.0
Auto17.3
Teleop103.8
End12.4
Second
1091
#46
132.22.3
139.4137.1
Auto17.8
Teleop97.9
End13.1
red by 2.6
6613
#18
129.70.3
128.2127.9
Auto17.0
Teleop100.1
End10.2
Third
537
#52
107.30.5
108.4107.9
Auto13.2
Teleop77.4
End15.2
blue by 18.9
3055
#19
126.21.0
122.7123.7
Auto14.3
Teleop91.7
End21.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed