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Red158
2530106.8
4021118.9
171101.8
Blue428
5914131.4
2830146.7
4531154.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2393720100200300500600158428

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4021
#25
118.91.8
116.5118.3
Auto18.4
Teleop82.1
End13.2
blue by 35.2
154.11.2
139.7141.0
Auto19.0
Teleop109.4
End28.6
Second
2530
#33DQ
106.80.8
104.5105.2
Auto15.6
Teleop80.4
End11.8
blue by 39.9
2830
#29
146.70.6
139.0139.5
Auto18.1
Teleop116.6
End14.1
Third
171
#49
101.81.8
109.3107.5
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
blue by 29.6
5914
#17
131.41.3
117.0118.3
Auto17.7
Teleop93.9
End24.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned