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Red284
5903146.6
3100154.5
4624133.2
Blue420
1736178.7
1756187.9
2506112.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320350200250300400450500284420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3100
#10
154.51.2
150.3151.5
Auto20.9
Teleop116.4
End20.0
blue by 33.4
1756
#13
187.90.4
183.2183.6
Auto26.5
Teleop133.8
End22.8
Second
5903
#24
146.60.5
144.8145.3
Auto19.7
Teleop108.3
End20.4
blue by 32.1
1736
#11
178.71.2
172.8174.0
Auto26.6
Teleop130.2
End23.8
Third
4624
#39
133.21.2
137.1135.9
Auto13.5
Teleop107.8
End12.7
red by 20.8
2506
#41
112.40.2
111.7111.5
Auto16.1
Teleop83.7
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsEarned88%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed