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Red400
4655171.6
5464145.5
2498117.0
Blue183
6166108.0
5003121.0
171101.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4031870100300500400183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.61.9
158.5160.4
Auto19.8
Teleop126.9
End26.6
red by 50.6
5003
#44
121.00.2
120.9121.1
Auto14.7
Teleop84.2
End24.5
Second
5464
#22
145.51.1
142.2143.3
Auto14.2
Teleop103.4
End29.7
red by 37.5
6166
#53
108.00.1
112.2112.2
Auto17.0
Teleop85.3
End3.9
Third
2498
#21
117.01.1
113.0114.1
Auto17.5
Teleop83.0
End21.6
red by 15.2
171
#49
101.81.9
107.5105.6
Auto14.4
Teleop75.5
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed12%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
21%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed